Daily Report — 2026-10-03

Sleep & CPAP Report — 2026-10-03

🚩 Flags

Summary Table — Night of 2026-10-03

Metric Value
CPAP usage hours 6.00
Session count 1
AHI 2.33
RDI 2.67
Obstructive apneas (OA) 7
Hypopneas (H) 6
Central apneas (CA) 1
Unclassified apneas (UA) 0
RERA 2
Pressure_Avg 7.21
Pressure_Min 4.00
Pressure_Max 10.36
Pressure_90th 9.30
Leak_Avg 2.77
Leak_Max 22.80
Leak_90th 10.80
FL_Avg 0.0117
FL_P95 0.08
FL_Max 0.47
Min_Above_005 (min) 27.4
Min_Above_010 (min) 11.3
Min_Above_020 (min) 2.5
Frac_NonZero (FL samples) 18.77%
Apple Watch time in bed (min) 390.9
Apple Watch total sleep (min) 380.4
Apple Watch awake (min) 10.5
Apple Watch deep sleep (min / %) 36.6 / 9.63%
Apple Watch REM sleep (min / %) 96.8 / 25.46%
Apple Watch core sleep (min / %) 246.9 / 64.91%
Sleep efficiency (TSD/TIB) 97.30%

Comparison to Trailing Averages

Trailing windows exclude tonight by construction (they cover the 7 and 30 nights ending 2026-10-02).

Metric Tonight 7d avg 30d avg Δ vs 7d Δ vs 30d 30d z
AHI 2.33 1.55 2.08 +50.3% +12.0% +0.36
OA count 7.00 7.71 9.50 -9.2% -26.3% -0.73
H count 6.00 2.29 3.07 +162.0% +95.4% +1.40
CA count 1.00 0.14 0.70 +614.3% +42.9% +0.30
RERA count 2.00 0.71 0.67 +181.7% +198.5% +1.51
Pressure_Avg 7.21 7.77 7.52 -7.2% -4.1% -0.71
Pressure_90th 9.30 10.29 10.03 -9.6% -7.3% -1.40
Leak_Avg 2.77 1.18 0.92 +134.7% +201.1% +2.78
Leak_Max 22.80 22.80 20.24 +0.0% +12.6% +0.31
Leak_90th 10.80 4.63 2.92 +133.3% +269.9% +2.53
Usage hours 6.00 6.54 6.40 -8.3% -6.3% -1.01
FL_P95 0.08 0.09 0.09 -12.1% -14.0% -0.75
Min_Above_010 11.30 16.27 16.32 -30.5% -30.8% -1.18
Min_Above_020 2.50 3.14 3.65 -20.4% -31.5% -0.70

Sleep-Stage Comparison to Trailing Averages

Metric Tonight 7d avg 30d avg Δ vs 7d Δ vs 30d
Time in bed (min) 390.9 386.3 366.8 +1.2% +6.6%
Total sleep (min) 380.4 372.3 356.9 +2.2% +6.6%
Awake (min) 10.5 14.0 9.9 -24.9% +6.1%
Deep (min) 36.6 54.9 48.5 -33.3% -24.5%
REM (min) 96.8 88.9 85.2 +9.0% +13.6%
Core (min) 246.9 228.5 223.1 +8.1% +10.7%
Deep % 9.63 14.79 14.42 -34.9% -33.2%
REM % 25.46 23.71 24.61 +7.4% +3.5%
Core % 64.91 61.50 60.98 +5.5% +6.5%
Sleep efficiency 97.30 96.32 97.39 +1.0% -0.1%

Week-over-Week Deltas (recent 7d 2026-09-26–2026-10-02 vs prior 7d 2026-09-19–2026-09-25)

Metric Recent 7d Prior 7d Δ Δ %
AHI 1.550 2.411 -0.861 -35.7%
OA 7.714 8.857 -1.143 -12.9%
H 2.286 5.429 -3.143 -57.9%
CA 0.143 0.429 -0.286 -66.7%
Pressure_Avg 7.767 7.757 +0.010 +0.1%
Pressure_90th 10.286 10.257 +0.029 +0.3%
Leak_Avg 1.184 1.254 -0.070 -5.6%
Leak_90 4.629 3.943 +0.686 +17.4%
Leak_Max 22.800 24.343 -1.543 -6.3%
Usage hours 6.544 6.113 +0.431 +7.1%
FL_P95 0.091 0.103 -0.011 -11.1%
Min_Above_010 16.271 18.143 -1.871 -10.3%
Min_Above_020 3.143 3.557 -0.414 -11.6%

Recent 10-Night Context

Date AHI OA H CA PAvg P90 LAvg LMax L90 FL_P95 MinAbv010 MinAbv020 Hours
2026-09-24 1.65 3 6 1 7.36 10.18 0.59 28.80 1.20 0.09 15.2 3.4 6.05
2026-09-25 2.74 11 4 1 8.04 10.60 1.13 22.80 3.60 0.11 18.0 3.1 5.83
2026-09-26 2.72 13 6 0 7.66 10.50 2.37 22.80 9.60 0.10 19.2 5.1 6.98
2026-09-27 1.41 6 3 0 7.74 10.08 1.05 18.00 4.80 0.10 18.2 3.9 6.38
2026-09-28 1.23 7 1 0 7.54 10.36 1.04 34.80 3.60 0.11 22.2 3.5 6.48
2026-09-29 1.45 8 1 0 8.10 11.34 0.44 33.60 0.00 0.07 10.6 2.5 6.22
2026-09-30 1.44 7 2 0 8.01 10.40 1.18 16.80 3.60 0.10 16.9 2.0 6.25
2026-10-01 0.56 4 0 0 6.82 9.00 0.53 8.40 2.40 0.07 10.9 2.2 7.12
2026-10-02 2.04 9 3 1 8.50 10.32 1.68 25.20 8.40 0.09 15.9 2.8 6.38
2026-10-03 2.33 7 6 1 7.21 9.30 2.77 22.80 10.80 0.08 11.3 2.5 6.00

Historical CPAP → Sleep-Stage Correlations

Based on 77 matched (CPAP + Apple Watch sleep-stage) nights through 2026-10-03 (76 prior + tonight). Correlations below are computed on the 31-night window (30d + tonight) that was fully re-staged for this run; the longer-horizon correlations from prior reports continue to apply.

Pair the user r (30d+tonight, n=31) Interpretation
AHI vs deep_pct +0.025 essentially zero
AHI vs awake_min -0.193 weak negative
OA vs awake_min -0.058 negligible
Leak_Avg vs deep_pct -0.055 negligible
Leak_90 vs deep_pct -0.056 negligible
Leak_Max vs awake_min -0.140 weak negative
FL_P95 vs awake_min -0.205 weak negative
Min_Above_010 vs deep_pct -0.041 negligible

Leak_90 median split (30d+tonight, median = 2.40): - Low-leak nights (n=18): mean deep% 14.64, awake 9.53 min - High-leak nights (n=13): mean deep% 13.74, awake 10.54 min

The pattern remains the same as prior reports: mild-to-moderate leak elevations show no demonstrable effect on sleep architecture in the aggregate. Tonight is a specific exception — leak was elevated (L90 = 10.80) AND deep% was unusually low (9.63%), which is directionally consistent with the weakly-negative Leak_90 vs deep_pct correlation but much larger in magnitude than the average effect. One night doesn't change the statistical story, but it's a sharper leak-plus-deep-loss pairing than the historical correlation implies.

Interpretation

Tonight is the follow-through on yesterday's leak warning, and this time the sleep architecture didn't save it.

The core story: Leak_90 and Leak_Avg are both >2.5 SD outliers vs the 30-day mean for the second straight night, with tonight actually worse than last night (L90 10.80 vs 8.40, LAvg 2.77 vs 1.68). Yesterday's report flagged this exact scenario — "if tomorrow's leak also returns to the 8–12 range, that's worth paying attention to" — and tomorrow has delivered it. This is now a credible mask-seal concern. Last night was a one-point outlier; tonight is pattern formation. The 3+ consecutive night threshold hasn't been crossed yet, but the next-night read will decide whether this is an incipient streak or a two-night blip.

Importantly, pressure did not rise to compensate tonight. Pressure_Avg 7.21 is the lowest of the last 10 nights, and Pressure_90th 9.30 is also the lowest (down from 10.32 last night). This differs from the usual auto-titrator response pattern and may be contributing to the hypopnea bump (H = 6, 7d z-equivalent > +1.4) and the lower deep-sleep yield. Not something the user can control directly — the machine's titration decides — but it's a mechanical note.

Sleep architecture reversed from last night's standout to tonight's weak-deep profile. Deep sleep crashed from 18.86% / 67.7 min last night to 9.63% / 36.6 min tonight — the lowest deep% in the recent 10-night window. REM held up at 25.46% (slightly above 30d average) and awake was fine (10.5 min, close to the 30d mean), and efficiency stayed high (97.30%). So the night wasn't fragmented — it was structurally shallow. This is directionally consistent with the known weakly-negative correlation between leak and deep sleep, but the magnitude is well above the average effect size.

The flagged metrics are specific: - Leak (2+ SD, two nights running) — this is the actionable signal. - Hypopnea count 6 (+1.40 SD) — more hypopneas, consistent with lower pressure and higher leak. - Deep sleep 9.63% — the lowest in the 10-night window, following a standout 18.86% last night.

What's not concerning: AHI 2.33 is still well below the clinical 5.0 threshold. REM is healthy. Sleep efficiency is 97.30%. The 7-day-over-7-day trend is strongly positive (-35.7% AHI). Usage was 6.0 h — on the low side vs 7d (6.54 h) but still compliant.

Action if there's one to take: next time the mask comes off the face, give the cushion/seal/headgear a quick inspection. If tomorrow's leak also lands in the 8–12 range, that would make 3 consecutive elevated-leak nights and would formally trigger the "3+ consecutive night" flag defined in this report series — at that point, mask replacement or re-fitting becomes a specific recommendation.

Caveats

See all past reports →